[WCUSP] Debka: Syrian & Iranian Generals in Intensive War Consultations

Sun Jun 10 00:34:00 CDT 2007

"According to the Iranian scenario, the timeline for hostilities  has already 
been fixed between Washington and Jerusalem - and so has the plan of  action. 
The US will strike Iran first, after which Israel will use the  opportunity 
to go for Syria, targeting its air force, missile bases and  deployments, as 
well as Hizballah’s missile and weapons stocks which Iran  replenished this 
year."

This is from an Israel-based intelligence  site that is believed to have 
close ties with the Mossad. It has a mixed record  of accuracy in its predictions 
but it was the first site to report that US  troops accompanied Israeli troops 
during its attack on Jenin in 2002, which  later turned out to be true.

_http://www.debka.com/article_print.php?aid=1279_ 
(http://www.debka.com/article_print.php?aid=1279) 
DEBKAfile - We start where the media stop  
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Syrian and Iranian Generals in Intensive War  Consultations 
June 9, 2007, 12:07 PM (GMT+02:00)        
Syria and Iran march together   
DEBKAfile’s intelligence and Middle East  sources take a look at the actions 
behind the words issuing from Damascus  officials affirming Syria’s 
willingness to go into peace talks with Israel. 
During most of last week, two high-ranking Iranian  delegations spent time in 
Damascus. One was composed of generals who held talks  with Syrian leaders on 
coordinated preparations for a Middle East war in the  coming months.  
At the Iranian end, a similar high-ranking Syrian military  delegation called 
in at Iranian army and Revolutionary Guards headquarters to  tighten 
operational coordination between them at the command level, as well as  inspecting the 
Iranian arsenal. The Syrian general staff will draw up a list of  items it is 
short of for a possible military confrontation with Israel this  summer. 
Our sources report that last week, Tehran sent Moscow a  check for $327 m to 
pay for assorted missiles consigned to Damascus. A further  $438 m has been 
pledged by the end of June for more hardware to Syria. 
Iranian foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki’s three days of  talks in 
Damascus at the end of May further consolidated the strategic  partnership between 
the two governments under the mutual defense pact they  signed a year ago.  
Their deliberations produced concurrence on the following  issues: 
1. Expanded economic cooperation, i.e. an enlarged Iranian  aid package for 
Syria including monetary assistance and an extra 5 million tons  of oil gratis 
per annum on top of the one million already guaranteed. 
Syrian president Bashar Assad drove a hard bargain: He  demanded a larger 
slice of economic aid as the price for entering into strategic  cooperation with 
Iran for the coming war. 
2. The Assad government agreed not to take any military - or  other steps 
with military connotations - without prior notice to Tehran and its  assent. This 
clause applies equally to activating the Lebanese Hizballah and the  
Palestinian Hamas’ Damascus headquarters. 
3. Reciprocal visits by Syrian and Iranian generals and  political officials 
will be stepped up. 
4. In Iraq, Iran and Syria agreed to jointly intensify their  terrorist 
operations against US and British troops. 
The regime heads in Tehran are basing their common front  with Damascus on 
intelligence reports whereby the US and Israel have drawn up  plans for 
coordinated military action against Iran, Syria and Hizballah in the  summer.  
According to this hypothesis, Iranian leaders foresee the  next UN Security 
Council in New York at the end of June or early July ending  with an American 
announcement that the sanctions against Tehran are inadequate  because Russia 
and China has toned them down. Therefore, the military option is  the only one 
left on the table. The ayatollahs have concluded that US president  George W. 
Bush is determined to bow out of office on the high note of a  glittering 
military success against Iran to eclipse his failures in Iraq.  
They believe he will not risk the lives of more Americans by  mounting a 
ground operation, but rather unleash a broad missile assault that  will wipe out 
Iran’s nuclear facilities and seriously cripple its economic  infrastructure. 
According to the Iranian scenario, the timeline for  hostilities has already 
been fixed between Washington and Jerusalem - and so has  the plan of action. 
The US will strike Iran first, after which Israel will use  the opportunity to 
go for Syria, targeting its air force, missile bases and  deployments, as 
well as Hizballah’s missile and weapons stocks which Iran  replenished this year. 
Officials in Tehran and Damascus find confirmation of their  intelligence 
evaluations in the visit Israel’s transport minister Shaul Mofaz  paid to 
Washington last week at the head of a large military delegation. They  are certain 
Mofaz, a former defense minister and chief of staff, used the  strategic talks 
to tie the last ends of the planned offensive. They were  perturbed in 
particular by the Israel minister’s reported advice to secretary of  state Condoleezza 
Rice of the importance of setting a deadline, beyond which the  US will 
abandon sanctions as ineffective and turn to its remaining options for  dealing 
with Iran’s advance towards a nuclear weapons capability.  
Considering the climate in Damascus and Tehran and their  active pursuit of 
preparations for imminent attack, it is not surprising that  Israeli prime 
minister Ehud Olmert received no reply to the note he sent to  Assad proposing 
peace talks and offering the Golan as an incentive. Assad was  not inclined to 
take the Israeli prime minister seriously. According to  DEBKAfile’s sources in 
Jerusalem, Olmert did not really expect him  to. The offer was more in the 
nature of clearing the decks ahead of Olmert’s  White House visit later this 
month.  
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